we work with operators directly towards device manufacturering app provision– Chafic Traboulsi

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Chafic Traboulsi, Head, Networks; Ericsson, MEA 
Chafic Traboulsi, Head, Networks; Ericsson, Middle East and Africa, recently shared with Technology Journalists a number of industry issues as a follow up to the released Ericsson Mobility report.

Noting that Ericsson regularly performs traffic measurements in over 100 live networks in all major regions of the world, he said that the Swedish multinational networking and telecommunications company works together with operators as well as directly towards device manufacturers and application providers.

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Excerpts…. 

Traffic measurements in over 100 live networks across the world 

Ericsson constantly performs traffic measurements in over 100 live networks across the world. The Ericsson figures for actual and net added subscriptions are based on several data sources including regulators and operators, as well as macroeconomic factors. Ericsson performs forecasts on a regular basis to support internal planning as well as market communications. 

The subscription and traffic forecast baseline in this report is based on historical data from various sources, validated with Ericsson’s internal data, including extensive measurements in customer networks. Future development is estimated based on macroeconomic trends, user trends (including research by Ericsson ConsumerLab), market maturity, technology development expectations and documents such as industry analyst reports, on a national or regional level, together with internal assumptions 

Why is Ericsson doing these measurements?

 Ericsson is constantly aiming for solutions and products with superior performance. Understanding the traffic volumes and patterns are crucial to improve product development as well as network dimensioning and optimization. In these measurements, Ericsson works together with operators as well as directly towards device manufacturers and application providers. 

In 2023 there might still be a gap between the number of smartphone subscriptions and mobile broadband subscriptions of around 1.2 billion subscriptions, what is the reason for this? 

A part (25%) of the gap is due to mobile PCs, tablets and mobile router subscriptions, but the majority are related to 3G/4G phones that do not fulfill the definition we have used for smartphones (i.e. having an open OS capable of downloading and running “apps”, like iPhones and Android OS phones). Many of these devices are probably still relatively “smart” and with good screen, but do not have an open OS etc. as defined. Mobile data traffic is expected to have grown by a factor of 8 by the end of 2023. How should we look at that in relation to expected mobile equipment market growth and Ericsson mobile equipment sales? 

The development of the mobile equipment market is not solely a function of traffic volume growth. Other factors including coverage build-out, network efficiency, speed and quality requirements driven by new devices and applications, also play an important role. 

How do you calculate when stating that 20 percent of mobile data traffic will be carried by 5G networks in 2023? 

The traffic carried over 5G networks is the traffic actually using the 5G Radio Access network (RAN) – subscribers with 5G subscriptions will in addition to this also generate traffic that use the 4G (LTE) network (or 3G) when in areas where 5G coverage is not yet established. Ericsson is exploring new use cases and business ideas on how communication services could be used and improved when 5G access is deployed. What do you categorize as IoT?

 Typical examples are connected cars, remote metering (e.g. utility meters), Point-of-Sale terminals, Security systems, Tele-health devices, smart TVs as well as other connected consumer electronics. How many of the forecast IoT devices will have cellular connectivity in 2023? We estimate 3.5 billion cellular IoT connections, which is around 85% of the wide-area category. There is a considerable upside potential considering ongoing deployments of massive IoT networks, driven by China. On the market size (value) of use cases/applications that utilize cellular IoT, how many connected cars will there be in 2023? Our forecast does not currently publish details on each sub-segment. 

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